Sevilla Correct Score Stats: 1-1, 1-0 and the Costly 1-2 Defeat
A club file on Sevilla's correct scores: which results recur, which one the market tends to underrate, and how home, away and recent seasons change the picture.
- Market
- Correct Score
- On file
- Sevilla La Liga matches, 2005/06–2025/26: 760 matches in 20 seasons
- Question
- Which scores define Sevilla's league matches, and how much more often does the 1-2 defeat land than for teams priced the same way?
- E112.2%1-1 draw: most common score
- E2+2.6 pts1-2 defeat: vs same-price teams
- E310.70Fair odds of a 1-2 defeat
- E431.8%Sevilla clean sheets
Sevilla look like a tidy side on a form table, but correct score asks a harder question: what does a Sevilla match actually look like at full time? I went through 760 La Liga matches across 20 seasons to find the scores that define them. I also compared each scoreline with clubs given the same win price at the same venue, which is how I build my correct score tips page.
The headline is simple. 1-1 is the most common Sevilla score at 12.2%, with the 1-0 win close behind. The score that stands out against the price, though, is the 1-2 defeat. It lands in 9.3% of matches against 6.7% for same-price teams, and that gap is the thread running through this file.
Exhibit AA 1-1 draw tops Sevilla's league scorelines
The 1-1 draw came up in 93 of 760 matches, a 12.2% share that works out to fair odds of 8.17. The 1-0 win follows at 11.4% (fair odds 8.74), then the 1-2 defeat at 9.3% (fair odds 10.70). Below those three, the 2-0 and 2-1 wins sit almost level at 8.3% and 8.2%.
The ten scores on the chart cover 74.7% of Sevilla's league matches. The remaining 25.3% are scattered across 27 further scorelines, so most of the action sits in low-scoring, one-goal territory.
The ten scores shown cover 74.7% of matches.
View the data: sevilla's most common league scores
| Share of 760 La Liga matches, Sevilla's goals first | |
|---|---|
| 1-1 draw | 12.2% |
| 1-0 win | 11.4% |
| 1-2 defeat | 9.3% |
| 2-0 win | 8.3% |
| 2-1 win | 8.2% |
| 0-0 draw | 6.4% |
| 0-1 defeat | 6.4% |
| 0-2 defeat | 4.6% |
| 2-2 draw | 3.9% |
| 3-0 win | 3.8% |
What I take from this is that Sevilla matches cluster tightly. The 3-0 win only reaches 3.8%, and the 2-2 draw sits at 3.9%. When I picture a Sevilla match, I picture a narrow game, not a wide-open one.
Exhibit BThe 1-2 defeat lands more often than the price suggests
This chart compares each Sevilla score with clubs in 11 top flights that carried the same win chance, in the same 5-point band, at the same venue. The 1-2 defeat comes out furthest ahead: 9.3% for Sevilla against 6.7% for the benchmark, or +2.6 points. The 1-0 win is also above the benchmark, at 11.4% against 9.8% (+1.6 points).
At the other end, the 0-0 draw is the score Sevilla underproduce most: 6.4% against 7.5%, or −1.1 points. The 0-1 defeat sits the same distance below. The 1X2 market reads Sevilla well overall, giving them a 43.5% average win chance against 44.7% actual wins, so the edge, if there is one, is in the shape of the result rather than the result itself.
760 priced matches; reference = other clubs in 11 top flights, same venue, same 5-point win-chance band.
View the data: sevilla vs teams priced the same way
| Sevilla minus same-price teams | |
|---|---|
| 1-1 draw | +0.3 pts |
| 1-0 win | +1.6 pts |
| 1-2 defeat | +2.6 pts |
| 2-0 win | +0.7 pts |
| 2-1 win | −0.5 pts |
| 0-0 draw | −1.1 pts |
| 0-1 defeat | −1.1 pts |
| 0-2 defeat | −0.3 pts |
My reading is that Sevilla rarely lose without scoring. When a match goes against them, it tends to be a 1-2 rather than a 0-1. One caution belongs here: correct-score prices aren't in this data, and single scorelines are rare events, so a 10% share carries a range of roughly ±2 to ±3 points. Treat these gaps as leanings, not certainties.
Exhibit CHome Sevilla win to nil, away Sevilla often lose
At home Sevilla won to nil in 31.6% of matches, won while conceding in 25.0%, drew 20.8% and lost 22.6%. Away from home the picture flips. They won to nil in only 19.2%, won while conceding in 13.7%, drew 25.0% and lost 42.1%.
Across all 760 matches they kept a clean sheet in 31.8% and won to nil in 25.4%. Most of those shut-outs belong to home fixtures.
View the data: sevilla results: to nil, conceding, draw, loss
| Won to nil | Won, conceded | Draw | Lost | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home (n=380) | 31.6% | 25.0% | 20.8% | 22.6% |
| Away (n=380) | 19.2% | 13.7% | 25.0% | 42.1% |
For correct score, this splits the club into two files. At home, 1-0 and 2-0 deserve attention. Away, the loss column dominates, and that is where the 1-2 defeat finds its natural setting.
Exhibit DRecent seasons have tightened Sevilla into draws and narrow wins
In the first window (2005/06–2011/12, 228 matches), the 1-0 win led at 10.5% and the 1-2 defeat came second at 9.6%. Sevilla also won by three or more in 11.0%. The middle window (2012/13–2018/19) put the 1-1 draw on top at 10.9%, with the 2-1 win at 10.2%.
The latest window (2019/20–2025/26) is the most concentrated. The 1-1 draw rose to 17.3%, the 1-0 win to 15.4%, and draws overall to 27.4%. Meanwhile, wins by three or more fell to 4.9%. The 2006/07 season is missing from the data.
| Era | Matches | Top score | Second | Won to nil | Won by 3+ | Draws |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2005/06–2011/12 | 228 | 1-0 · 10.5% | 1-2 · 9.6% | 25.9% | 11.0% | 18.9% |
| 2012/13–2018/19 | 266 | 1-1 · 10.9% | 2-1 · 10.2% | 23.3% | 10.5% | 21.8% |
| 2019/20–2025/26 | 266 | 1-1 · 17.3% | 1-0 · 15.4% | 27.1% | 4.9% | 27.4% |
This is the chart I'd lean on most for current Sevilla. The big wins have largely dried up, so I'd give the cramped scores more weight than the full-period figures alone suggest.
Dossier verdict
Case closed- Start with 1-1
The 1-1 draw is the most common Sevilla score at 12.2% overall and 17.3% in the latest window. Fair odds of 8.17 give you a yardstick to check any price against.
- Respect the 1-2 away
The 1-2 defeat runs +2.6 points above same-price teams, and Sevilla lose 42.1% of away matches. Away fixtures are where this score earns a closer look, measured against fair odds of 10.70.
- Fade the goalless draw
The 0-0 sits −1.1 points below the benchmark at 6.4%. When I'm choosing between low scores, I'd look past it towards 1-0 or 1-1.
Questions bettors ask
What is Sevilla's most common correct score in La Liga?
The 1-1 draw, which came up in 93 of 760 matches (12.2%), with fair odds of 8.17. The 1-0 win is next at 11.4%.
How often do Sevilla lose 1-2?
Sevilla lost 1-2 in 71 of 760 league matches, a 9.3% share with fair odds of 10.70. That is +2.6 points above teams priced the same way at the same venue.
How often do Sevilla keep a clean sheet?
Sevilla kept a clean sheet in 31.8% of league matches and won to nil in 25.4%. Home matches carry most of that, with a 31.6% win-to-nil rate against 19.2% away.
I'm Isla Hartwell, and I specialise in Correct Score markets, where you can't hide behind a result and actually have to picture how the match plays out.
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