Valencia Yellow Cards Stats: By Match Price, Derbies and the Giants
Valencia collect more cards as underdogs, opponents collect more when Valencia are fancied, and the Levante derby runs hottest of all. This is the Valencia card file.
- Market
- Yellow Cards
- On file
- Valencia La Liga matches 2005/06–2025/26, 760 games with booking data
- Question
- How many yellow cards do Valencia league games produce, by pre-match price and against Real Madrid, Barcelona and the local rivals?
- E15.25Yellows per Valencia league game
- E243.9%Valencia games over 5.5 yellows
- E347.2%Games Valencia get 3+ yellows
- E42.12Fair odds, Valencia over 2.5 yellows
What does a Valencia league game look like in the referee's notebook? I went through 760 La Liga matches from 2005/06–2025/26 to find out. Valencia games averaged 5.25 yellows, slightly above the La Liga average of 5.02. Over 5.5 total yellows landed in 43.9% of them.
The headline is less interesting than the split underneath it. Who collects the cards depends heavily on how the match is priced, and the giants and the local rivals pull the totals in opposite directions. Everything below feeds into my yellow card tips page whenever Valencia are on the coupon, so treat this as the file I check before I touch a card line.
Exhibit AUnderdog Valencia take cards, favourite Valencia hand them out
This dumbbell splits games by Valencia's pre-match win chance, taken from 1X2 prices with the margin stripped out. When Valencia were given under 30% (201 games), they averaged 2.74 yellows to the opponent's 2.37. At 30–45% (272 games) Valencia still edged it, 2.78 to 2.65.
Then the bars cross. At 45–60% (178 games) Valencia dropped to 2.22 while opponents jumped to 3.04, and as 60%+ favourites (109 games) it was 2.19 against 2.84. The side without the ball chases, fouls and gets booked, and Valencia are no exception.
View the data: valencia vs opponent yellows by pre-match win chance
| Valencia | Opponent | |
|---|---|---|
| Win chance under 30% (201 games) | 2.74 | 2.37 |
| Win chance 30–45% (272 games) | 2.78 | 2.65 |
| Win chance 45–60% (178 games) | 2.22 | 3.04 |
| Win chance 60%+ (109 games) | 2.19 | 2.84 |
For me this is the most useful chart in the file. A Valencia team-card bet makes far more sense when the 1X2 market expects them to suffer, and an opponent-card angle makes more sense when Valencia are clear favourites.
Exhibit BLevante derbies run hot, the giants run cooler
Against Real Madrid and Barcelona (80 games) the total fell to 4.90 and over 5.5 landed in only 37.5%. Valencia still took 2.76 a game, but the giants averaged just 2.14. That fits the price-band chart: Valencia are underdogs, and the big two rarely need to foul.
The local fixtures go the other way. In 26 derbies with Levante the total averaged 5.81, Levante picked up 3.23 a game, and over 5.5 landed in 53.8%. Villarreal (38 games) sat closer to normal at 5.53 and 44.7%, while the rest of the league (616 games) matched the overall 5.25.
| Opponent | Games | Valencia Y/g | Opp Y/g | Total Y/g | Over 5.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Real Madrid & Barcelona | 80 | 2.76 | 2.14 | 4.90 | 37.5% |
| vs Villarreal | 38 | 2.79 | 2.74 | 5.53 | 44.7% |
| vs Levante | 26 | 2.58 | 3.23 | 5.81 | 53.8% |
| vs the rest | 616 | 2.51 | 2.74 | 5.25 | 44.3% |
The derby samples are small, so I read the Levante figure as a lean rather than a rule. Still, it's the only matchup here where over 5.5 landed more often than not.
Exhibit CValencia over 2.5 cards is close to a coin flip
Valencia were booked at least once in 92.5% of games and twice or more in 71.6%, which works out at fair odds of 1.40. Those lines are too short to tell you much. The highlighted bar is where it gets interesting: 3+ Valencia yellows in 47.2% of games, fair odds 2.12.
By 4+ the hit rate halves to 24.6%. If I'm backing Valencia cards, the over 2.5 line is where price and frequency meet, and it's the line most sensitive to the price-band split above.
View the data: valencia team yellow lines
| Share of games Valencia go over each line | |
|---|---|
| Valencia over 0.5 | 92.5% |
| Valencia over 1.5 | 71.6% |
| Valencia over 2.5 | 47.2% |
| Valencia over 3.5 | 24.6% |
One honest caveat: there are no card prices in this data, so every fair-odds figure is a frequency benchmark, not proof that any market was beatable. The records also carry no referee names, so I can't separate the official's influence from Valencia's own discipline.
Exhibit DRecent Valencia seasons have been quieter than the long average
The season line shows how much the total moves around. Valencia games peaked at 6.95 yellows per game in 2021/22, well above the league that year, then dropped away sharply. The lowest point is the most recent: 4.21 in 2025/26, just under the La Liga figure of 4.41.
The 2006/07 gap is missing data, not a quiet season. The pattern I take from this is that the 5.25 long-run average can flatter the current picture, so I'd weight recent seasons more heavily before trusting any total line.
View the data: yellows per valencia game by season
| Valencia games | La Liga average | |
|---|---|---|
| 2005/06 | 4.61 | 5.23 |
| 2006/07 | – | – |
| 2007/08 | 5.21 | 4.93 |
| 2008/09 | 5.66 | 5.25 |
| 2009/10 | 5.26 | 4.99 |
| 2010/11 | 4.97 | 5.04 |
| 2011/12 | 6.32 | 5.6 |
| 2012/13 | 5.87 | 5.42 |
| 2013/14 | 4.97 | 4.91 |
| 2014/15 | 5.79 | 5.29 |
| 2015/16 | 5.13 | 5.27 |
| 2016/17 | 5.34 | 5 |
| 2017/18 | 5.53 | 5.02 |
| 2018/19 | 5.34 | 5.17 |
| 2019/20 | 4.53 | 5.13 |
| 2020/21 | 4.76 | 4.46 |
| 2021/22 | 6.95 | 5.14 |
| 2022/23 | 5.76 | 5.02 |
| 2023/24 | 4.29 | 4.77 |
| 2024/25 | 4.45 | 4.44 |
| 2025/26 | 4.21 | 4.41 |
Dossier verdict
Case closed- Check the 1X2 price first
As outsiders under 30% Valencia averaged 2.74 yellows, but as 60%+ favourites only 2.19. Let the match odds decide whether you look at Valencia cards or opponent cards.
- Lean under against giants
Against Real Madrid and Barcelona over 5.5 landed in just 37.5% of 80 games, with the visitors averaging 2.14. Any Valencia card interest there should sit on Valencia's side, not the total.
- Respect the Levante derby
The total averaged 5.81 and over 5.5 hit 53.8%, but across only 26 games. Use it as a reason to look closer, then check the referee and the stakes yourself.
Questions bettors ask
How many yellow cards are there in a Valencia La Liga game?
Across 760 league games from 2005/06–2025/26, Valencia matches averaged 5.25 yellows, against a La Liga average of 5.02. Valencia took 2.55 per game and opponents 2.70.
How often do Valencia get 3 or more yellow cards?
Valencia collected 3+ yellows in 47.2% of league games, which gives fair odds of 2.12 before any margin. That rate is higher when they are priced as underdogs.
Do Valencia vs Levante games have lots of yellow cards?
In 26 league derbies with Levante the total averaged 5.81 yellows and over 5.5 landed in 53.8%, with Levante averaging 3.23. The sample is small, so treat it as a tendency rather than a pattern you can rely on.
I'm Tessa Bramwell, and I focus on yellow card markets, where referee habits, derby needle and what's actually on the line shape the numbers more than the names do.
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