Atalanta BTTS Record: Serie A's Highest Rate Among Regulars
Across 722 Serie A matches, Atalanta games produced BTTS more often than any other regular club. Here is where that edge is strongest and where it fades.
- Market
- BTTS
- On file
- Atalanta Serie A matches 2006/07–2025/26, 722 matches in 19 seasons (no top-flight data for 2010/11); league baseline 7,220 Serie A matches in the same seasons
- Question
- How often do both teams score in Atalanta league matches, and why does Atalanta top Serie A's regular clubs for BTTS?
- E155.8%BTTS rate in 722 Serie A matches
- E252.7%Serie A average in the same seasons
- E364.5%BTTS at home vs top-third opponents
- E451.9%Over 2.5 rate in Atalanta matches
Atalanta have a reputation as an open, front-foot side, and I wanted to see whether the BTTS numbers back that up or whether it is just a story people repeat. Over 722 Serie A matches from 2006/07–2025/26, both teams scored in 55.8% of Atalanta games, against a league average of 52.7%. That puts them first of the 13 clubs with the most top-flight matches in the period.
The gap is not enormous, but it holds up across venues, opponent strength and pre-match price. It is strongest in one specific setting, and that is where this file earns its place. Use it alongside my today's BTTS tips page when Atalanta are on the card. One caveat matters before anything else: no BTTS prices are recorded in this match history, so everything here is hit rates and fair odds, not proven betting returns. Treat them as a base rate, not a forecast.
Exhibit AAtalanta top the Serie A regulars for BTTS
This chart lines Atalanta up against the clubs that have spent the most time in Serie A since 2005/06. Atalanta sit at the top on 55.8%, ahead of Roma on 54.5% and Milan on 53.9%, while Juventus prop up the group on 49.3%. The league average line sits at 52.7%.
What I like about this comparison is that it removes the easy excuse. These are all long-serving clubs facing the same opponents, so Atalanta's figure is not a quirk of a few relegation-battle seasons. Their matches simply tend to stay open at both ends.
Clubs shown: the 13 with the most Serie A matches in the period.
View the data: atalanta vs the other serie a regulars
| BTTS rate, 2005/06–2025/26, clubs with the most top-flight matches | |
|---|---|
| Atalanta | 55.8% |
| Roma | 54.5% |
| Milan | 53.9% |
| Fiorentina | 53.8% |
| Cagliari | 53.5% |
| Napoli | 53.3% |
| Udinese | 52.4% |
| Bologna | 52.3% |
| Inter | 51.9% |
| Lazio | 51.9% |
| Sampdoria | 51.9% |
| Genoa | 50.7% |
| Juventus | 49.3% |
| Serie A average | 52.7% |
The spread across the whole group is narrow, so I read Atalanta's lead as a modest, persistent tilt rather than a dramatic outlier. That is exactly the kind of edge BTTS bettors should be looking for: small, steady and easy for the market to underrate.
Exhibit BHome games against strong sides produce the most BTTS
Here the opponent's final league position is split into thirds and crossed with venue. The standout cell is Atalanta at home to top-third sides, where both teams scored 64.5% of the time. Away to the same opponents it drops to 55.1%.
That fits how I think about this side. At home against good teams Atalanta still push their full-backs high and press, and quality opponents have the players to punish the space left behind. Both sides get chances, and both usually take one.
Thirds of each season's final table. Smallest cell: 107 matches.
View the data: atalanta btts by opponent strength
| Home | Away | All | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs top third | 64.5% | 55.1% | 59.8% |
| vs middle third | 58.1% | 54.0% | 56.0% |
| vs bottom third | 50.8% | 53.8% | 52.3% |
The surprise is at the bottom. At home to bottom-third sides BTTS landed only 50.8%, below the away figure of 53.8% against the same group. When Atalanta dominate weak visitors, the clean sheet comes into play far more often, so I would not lean on the club's headline rate in those matches.
Exhibit CHigh goal expectation widens Atalanta's gap over the league
This chart groups matches by the over 2.5 chance implied by the pre-match price, with the margin removed, and compares Atalanta's BTTS rate with other Serie A clubs in the same band. In the low band the two are close, 50.0% against 48.8%. In the middle band Atalanta edge it, 55.1% against 53.4%.
The real separation comes when the market expects goals. In the 55%+ band, Atalanta matches hit BTTS 61.7% of the time, against 54.6% for other clubs over 209 matches.
Band = over 2.5 goals chance implied by the pre-match price.
View the data: atalanta btts by the market's goal expectation
| Other league clubs | Atalanta | 95% range | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 45% (170 matches) | 48.8% | 50.0% | ±7.5 |
| 45–55% (343 matches) | 53.4% | 55.1% | ±5.3 |
| 55%+ (209 matches) | 54.6% | 61.7% | ±6.6 |
Notice that the over 2.5 market itself was priced well in that band: 60.9% on average, landing 61.7%. So the goal total was read correctly, but in Atalanta matches those goals were shared between both sides more often than elsewhere. The ranges around each band are wide enough that I would treat this as a strong lean, not a certainty.
Exhibit DMost Atalanta BTTS landings come with three goals or more
The final chart splits every match into the four combinations of BTTS and over 2.5. 'BTTS and Over 2.5' landed in 43.4% of Atalanta matches, a fair price of 2.30. The 1-1 draw, the only BTTS score under 2.5, accounts for 12.5%.
The two paths that hurt BTTS backers are rarer than you might expect. Over 2.5 without both teams scoring came in just 8.6% of games, while 35.6% produced neither.
View the data: btts and over 2.5 in atalanta matches
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | BTTS & Under 2.5 (1-1) | No BTTS & Over 2.5 | No BTTS & Under 2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home (361) | 45.2% | 12.2% | 8.0% | 34.6% |
| Away (361) | 41.6% | 12.7% | 9.1% | 36.6% |
| All (722) | 43.4% | 12.5% | 8.6% | 35.6% |
Venue matters here too: the combination landed 45.2% at home and 41.6% away. Over 2.5 on its own came in 51.9% of Atalanta matches against 55.8% for BTTS, so if I am choosing one goals market for this club, BTTS is the steadier of the two.
Dossier verdict
Case closed- Prioritise home big games
Atalanta at home to top-third opponents produced BTTS 64.5% of the time, the strongest cell in the file. That is where I start looking.
- Fade the weak visitors
At home to bottom-third sides the rate fell to 50.8%, below the league average of 52.7%. Do not assume the club's reputation carries over into those matches.
- Follow high goal prices
When the over 2.5 chance is 55%+, Atalanta matches hit BTTS 61.7% against 54.6% for other clubs. A high goal line is a signal worth acting on with this side.
Questions bettors ask
How often do both teams score in Atalanta matches?
Both teams scored in 55.8% of Atalanta's 722 Serie A matches from 2006/07–2025/26. The Serie A average over the same seasons was 52.7%.
Is BTTS more likely at home or away for Atalanta?
Slightly more likely at home, at 57.3% across 361 matches, against 54.3% away. The home edge is biggest against top-third opponents, at 64.5%.
What are fair odds for BTTS and Over 2.5 in Atalanta games?
The combination landed in 43.4% of Atalanta matches, which gives fair odds of 2.30 before any bookmaker margin. At home it landed 45.2% and away 41.6%.
I'm Rosa Whitman, a betting writer who's narrowed right down to Both Teams To Score markets, where patient research into goal patterns tends to pay off.
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